Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.580992 1.844395 2.118173 2.422442 2.749674 3.089672 3.468310
2024-12-22 1.161227 1.524127 1.924168 2.391285 2.915714 3.480979 4.131206
2024-12-29 0.961561 1.375739 1.851526 2.425300 3.086718 3.815101 4.668299
2025-01-05 0.794275 1.240339 1.773860 2.436742 3.218955 4.096298 5.139565
2025-01-12 0.642781 1.100932 1.671878 2.401932 3.282224 4.285914 5.495220
2025-01-19 0.586230 1.075065 1.702409 2.520463 3.521043 4.674010 6.074766
2025-01-26 0.541730 1.058569 1.739714 2.643250 3.761885 5.062326 6.653109
2025-02-02 0.509111 1.053871 1.788919 2.778376 4.015943 5.465202 7.247990
2025-02-09 0.488053 1.062619 1.853691 2.931675 4.291276 5.892883 7.871948
2025-02-16 0.447322 1.037020 1.869072 3.019403 4.484381 6.221859 8.379797
2025-02-23 0.391940 0.982234 1.840124 3.046351 4.599629 6.455961 8.774686
2025-03-02 0.312712 0.878372 1.735440 2.968253 4.579068 6.523277 8.969506
2025-03-09 0.239217 0.775853 1.630535 2.892053 4.566985 6.610212 9.200975
2025-03-16 0.185506 0.698432 1.556207 2.852826 4.599216 6.749602 9.494545
2025-03-23 0.156041 0.662251 1.540817 2.891993 4.730377 7.008776 9.930540
2025-03-30 0.125701 0.617312 1.507944 2.904059 4.824469 7.221048 10.309335
2025-04-06 0.092404 0.555572 1.442556 2.865841 4.849355 7.344899 10.578960
2025-04-13 0.087382 0.563970 1.493595 2.996455 5.099429 7.751934 11.195381
2025-04-20 0.083373 0.574267 1.547658 3.131579 5.355861 8.167485 11.822969
2025-04-27 0.081338 0.589705 1.610563 3.279959 5.630539 8.606661 12.480349
2025-05-04 0.081842 0.612538 1.686489 3.447962 5.932173 9.080564 13.181223
2025-05-11 0.073799 0.608066 1.714092 3.543949 6.136550 9.431533 13.731356
2025-05-18 0.059559 0.579822 1.697893 3.573413 6.250105 9.666889 14.138969